| Category | Mesokurtic's Guess | Actual Winner or group consensus | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actor in a Leading Role | Joaquin Phoenix, Walk the Line | Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote | - |
| Actor in a Supporting Role | Jake Gyllenhaal, Brokeback Mountain | George Clooney, Syriana | - |
| Actress in a Leading Role | Keira Knightley, Pride & Prejudice | Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line | - |
| Actress in a Supporting Role | Michelle Williams, Brokeback Mountain | Rachel Weisz, The Constant Gardener | - |
| Directing | Steven Spielberg, Munich | Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain | - |
| Picture | Munich | Crash | - |
| Animated Feature Film | Howl's Moving Castle | Wallace & Gromit in the Curse of the Were-Rabbit | - |
| Cinematography | Memoirs of a Geisha | Memoirs of a Geisha | 2 |
| Foreign Language Film | Paradise Now (Palestine) | Tsotsi (South Africa) | - |
| Music, Song | Jordan Houston et al., "It's Hard Out Here for a Pimp" (Hustle & Flow) | Jordan Houston et al., "It's Hard Out Here for a Pimp" (Hustle & Flow) | 2 |
| Writing, Screenplay Based on Material Previously Produced or Published | Tony Kushner and Eric Roth, Munich | Larry McMurtry & Diana Ossana, Brokeback Mountain | - |
| Writing, Screenplay Written Directly for the Screen | George Clooney & Grant Heslov, Good Night, and Good Luck. | Paul Haggis & Bobby Moresco, Crash | - |
| Art Direction | Memoirs of a Geisha | Memoirs of a Geisha | 1 |
| Costume Design | Memoirs of a Geisha | Memoirs of a Geisha | 1 |
| Documentary Feature | March of the Penguins | March of the Penguins | 1 |
| Documentary Short Subject | God Sleeps in Rwanda | A Note of Triumph: The Golden Age of Norman Corwin | - |
| Film Editing | Crash | Crash | 1 |
| Makeup | The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe | The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe | 1 |
| Music, Original Score | John Williams, Munich | Gustavo Santaolalla, Brokeback Mountain | - |
| Short Film, Animated | One Man Band | The Moon and the Son: An Imagined Conversation | - |
| Short Film, Live Action | The Last Farm | Six Shooter | - |
| Sound Editing | King Kong | King Kong | 1 |
| Sound Mixing | Walk the Line | King Kong | - |
| Visual Effects | The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe | King Kong | - |
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